If we agree on nothing else, I hope we can agree that these past three months have ushered in a radically different series of events – never before seen in our lifetime – and perhaps unseen in all of human history. In record time, our schools and businesses were locked down. 50 million Americans lost their jobs. Trillions of tax payer dollars have been spent – with most it going to Wall Street Banks and wealthy international corporations. Millions of people drank the corona kool-aid and are afraid to leave their homes. But where is the real evidence of corona virus danger to warrant such a drastic change in our lives, our jobs and our schools?

Just over one month ago, I published the most comprehensive book ever written about the corona virus, Common Sense versus Corona Virus Hysteria. You can read that book for free at the following website: Common Sense Book dot org. I provided hundreds of scientific studies confirming that the corona virus was no more lethal than the seasonal flu. I predicted that, over time, even more evidence would emerge to support this conclusion. This article summarizes just a small fraction of the new evidence that has emerged in the past month on three important issues:

#1 The corona virus did not increase fatalities in Washington state in 2020 compared to 2019 or 2018

#2 Shutting down our schools and businesses did not reduce fatalities in Washington state in 2020 compared to 2019 or 2018.

#3 The ongoing lockdown will cause more harm than Great Depression

Since I published my book, many more studies have been published, supporting my contention that if one seeks out REAL science – looking for studies that follow the scientific method and use real independently verifiable data - instead of FAKE science studies using made up data generated by computer models, one will come very close to the truth. Let’s take a closer look at the new evidence that has emerged in the past month.

Government officials and the mass hysteria media have claimed, that in the past few months, we have suffered a huge epidemic of mass death resulting from the corona virus - and that this epidemic required the worst lockdown in human history to stem the tidal wave of fatalities. If either of these claims were true, then there should have been an INCREASE in fatalities resulting from the corona virus followed by a DECREASE in fatalities due to social distancing. The total fatality numbers are now in for January 2020 through April 2020. For Washington state, there was no increase or decrease in total weekly fatalities compared to previous years. This is a graph of weekly fatalities in Washington state for 2020, 2019 and 2018. This graph confirms that the corona virus did NOT increase fatalities in 2020. It also confirms that Social Distancing did NOT reduce fatalities in 2020.

This graph may seem surprising to those who have been drinking the corona virus and social distancing snake oil served up daily by government officials and the mass hysteria media. But it is actually the expected result of the Null Hypothesis – which is one of the foundational principles of the scientific method. In this article, we will look at the difference between real science based on actual data versus fake science based on made up computer models.

This article is part of our series of articles on using real science to restore common sense to facilitate better decision making with public policies. In our book, Common Sense versus Corona Virus Hysteria, we explained that actual hospital admissions were a more accurate estimate of the rate of the corona virus than confirmed cases. This is because confirmed cases are simply related to the number of tests that are done. The more tests that are done on any given day, the more confirmed cases you will get.

In this article, we will take a closer look at how to more accurately determine actual corona virus fatalities. As we explained in our book, the reason reported corona virus fatalities is not an accurate estimate of actual corona virus fatalities is that the CDC changed the rules on March 4, 2020 to require that corona virus be listed as the cause of death even in cases where it had nothing to do with the cause of death. Hospitals were even paid thousands of extra dollars if they listed the corona virus as a cause of death. These two incentives led to an explosion of claimed or reported corona virus fatalities after March 4th.

We obviously need to find a better way to determine actual corona virus fatalities. In this article, we will estimate actual corona virus fatalities by comparing the total number of people killed each week in 2020 to the total number of people killed each week in 2019 in Washington state.

As of May 20th, the Washington state Department of Health claimed that more than 1000 people have been killed from the corona virus in our state. But the Department of Health also said that because corona virus deaths may have occurred as early as January 1, as many as 3000 people may have been killed by the corona virus. If this is true, then there should be some increases in total fatalities as far back as January. So we will look closely at every week since January 1, 2020. If you live in a different state, the following CDC page links to a table where you can see the week by week fatalities in your own state. To see CDC State data, go to this link: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Scroll down to options and click on the link called Data.CDC. gov National and State estimates. Then click on View Data. Then click on State, Sort Descending. Then click Next about 20 times to get to Washington State.

To give us some context of how the current corona virus flu season compares with past flu seasons, let’s begin by looking at a CDC graph comparing this years flu season to the past several years of flu seasons in terms of hospital admissions.

This graph shows that this years flu-related hospitalizations (the red line) were actually LESS than 2018 flu related hospital admissions (the brown line). The graph makes it pretty obvious that the 2018 Seasonal Flu was much worse than the total of all flu versions – including corona virus flu – in 2020. But 2020 was slightly worse than 2019 (the yellow line). You can see that the 2019 flu season was an average flu season.